Friday, December 23, 2005

Future of Gold

Here is an interesting observation.. as you can see, this is the historical chart of the Dow Jones Average since 1900:

And here is a chart of the price of gold since the year 1900:

Now for the fun part.. if you go into Excel and graph the ratio of the Dow Jones Industrial Average to the historical price of gold (DJI/Gold) you get a very interesting figure:

As you can see, a trend has been established. Over the years, as the stock market has risen and fallen, so has the price of gold. The important part is their relationship to one another.. the greater the ratio, the higher the Dow and/or the lower the price of gold. As the ratio gets smaller, the DJI is falling and the POG is increasing.

Why is this so important you ask?? Well, if history repeats itself (which is most likely always the case)... The Dow to gold ratio will go down. This means one thing and one thing only: The price of gold will rise as it has been for the past few years. For the ratio to hold true gold must go up.. even if the Dow continues to rise (increasing the numerator of the ratio), the price of gold has to be that much greater to maintain the ratio.

You do the math. Lets say the DJI/Gold number goes back down to 5 which it does every thirty years or so (and appears to be doing right now).. Just for the sake of example, if the Dow maintains its current level of just under 11,000 that would set the price of gold at $2000 per ounce!! If for some reason, something reaaaaaly bad happens and the stock market crashes and the Dow sees a 50% correction, that would still put the price of gold at over $1000 per ounce. The bottom line is, gold is going up. Its as plain as day. Take a look at all the gold stocks out there.. they are all doing really well.. hmm I wonder. Just a thought.

Tuesday, November 01, 2005

TRE Update

Today was a good day. Everything was right for TAN Range Exploration Corp. (TRE). The stock took a breather after its amazing run to 2.99 and began to set up for the next leg which just so happened to begin today.

The technicals are perfect.. triple bottom support at 2.25, the MACD began to curl upwards as the fast and slow line were getting ever so close together. Today was the pop.. huge volume, MACD crossover.. the stock broke above both the 10 and 20 day moving averages... Everything is right.

Congrats to those who if like me have been buying in anticipation of this very move. I've been bullish on this stock since 1.55 and I am very confident in the future of this company.. not to mention they have wonderful management.. In the famous words of LeVar Burton, "But don't take my word for it".. see for yourself

previous posts:

Friday, October 28, 2005


Ok.. Coinstar Inc. (CSTR) released their quarterly earnings yesterday. Their net profits rose 3 percent. The company also projected fourth-quarter revenue above analysts' current target. By no means is their earnings results the reason why I decided to feature CSTR. Here's the good part.. also on Thursday, they announced a deal with Wal-mart. They agreed to install its coin-counting machines in 100 Wal-Mart stores on a test basis. This could mean huge things for Coinstar if Wal-mart later agrees to take them in on a larger scale. Wal-mart is perfect for Coinstar. But with situations like this, you have to be careful.. there's a lot of hype involved with "Wal-mart deals".. remember Host America Corp.(CAFE) back in July. (I am merely using CAFE as and example of what happens when people speculate and it's story is in no way comparable to CSTR.) In my opinion, if you are not already in this stock, I believe you should wait a bit.. I think there is a lot of speculation involved especially around this Wal-mart deal. Think about it, company's profits rose 3%.. has good outlook for next quarter.. but the stock is up over 20% Wwaaaallll-mmmaaaarrrrt. CSTR is a great company, they make lots of money, and I wish I owned some.. though I eventually will, just not now

Wednesday, October 26, 2005

AMLN Earnings

As we all know, earnings announcement is today. Since I first covered this company in august, many positive things have occurred within Amylin Pharmaceuticals Inc. (AMLN). It has been upgraded by three firms and coverage was initiated by a fourth, we've seen a new addition to the board of directors, and most importantly, people have been buying the stock. Here is what one analyst wrote about their new drug Byetta that treats type 2 diabetes, "We continue to believe that Byetta will exceed Street expectations and upside to estimates could result in a second leg of stock appreciation near term." I will be surprised if they release anything other than good news after the bell today.

**update** AMLN hit the low end of the estimate and the stock is heading south in after hours trading... say no to drugs

Tuesday, October 25, 2005

NTRI Earnings

Be sure to listen in on NutriSystem's Inc. (NTRI) earnings conference call five o'clock today. For the past year, their business has been growing at an exponential rate and there is no sign of it slowing down. They also significantly raised their guidance by almost 50% earlier this month, so be prepared for numbers with lots of zeros.

Tuesday, October 18, 2005

GOOG and Earnings

As far as technical analysis goes, Google has recently seen a nice bounce off the 50 dma. The 50 dma has been an excellent tool to show areas of support for Google since the beginning. One can talk about technical analysis and blab about various indicators all day long, but there is one thing that these indicators cannot predict.. the market's reaction to earnings. Google's earnings announcement is in two days so stay alert. Pay attention after the close today when Yahoo announces its quarterly earnings.. Be especially attentive to their numbers regarding ad revenues.. this could serve as an indicator of things to come for Google's numbers on Thursday. Personally I rarely.. RARELY hold any stock through earnings.. yes you will get lucky many times, but you will also get crushed just the same.. you never know what's going to happen or how people are going to react.

Monday, October 17, 2005

ALO Alert

Alpharma Inc. (ALO) is breaking out on the news of they have agreed to sell its U.S. and International Generics businesses to Actavis Group for $810 million.

Wednesday, October 12, 2005


The market has been brutal lately.. Today all but one of the stocks I follow finished red.. the other had no change. At times like this, if you don't like to short stocks, a good way to see green is to keep it green.. Cash Is King. Also, this may be a good time to add to your golden oldies.. I've been adding to my position in TRE a little bit last week and some more today.. That about it for me though.. Happy trading.

Tuesday, October 11, 2005

Insider Buying

There was significant insider buying reported today in CapitalSource, Inc. (CSE). Insiders can sell their stock for any number of reasons.. but they only buy for one: They think their stock will go up.. and who knows better than the people who run the company.

Friday, October 07, 2005


Keep an eye on Luby's Inc. (LUB).. The company has been working hard this year as they have dramatically improved their balance sheet. Also Luby's was just upgraded to "Buy" status by Sanders Morris Harris... I think they liked the fish and macaroni 'n cheese

Wednesday, October 05, 2005

CPSI Alert

One stock to take note of is Computer Programs & Systems Inc. (CPSI). The stock recently saw a healthy pullback and now is once again trading above the 50 day moving average.. Also, this July, the company declared regular quarterly dividend of $0.22 per share.


Shares of Cano Petroleum Inc. (CFW) exploded on huge volume today after it announced that it completed the transaction of selling 2,100,000 shares of Cano common stock to certain "accredited investors".... I'm putting this one on my watch list for now.

Tuesday, October 04, 2005

SWN Update

Southwestern Energy Co. (SWN) has really exploded since I first started picking it up.. I have decided to take my profits though.. We have seen an excellent run up in share price recently and it looks like the MACD and the stochastic are indicating its time to take some off the table.



PortalPlayer Inc. (PLAY) was featured on Mad Money last night.. the stock is definitely taking a ride on the Cramer Train today..

Monday, October 03, 2005

NTRI Update

NutriSystem Inc. (NTRI) is breaking out today.. The MACD is nice and bullish.. lots of upside potential.. I've been buying this one since the low 20's

Sunday, October 02, 2005

The Next Google?

This is why Google is going to be the next Google...


Friday, September 23, 2005

One Strange Trip

I decided to try this whole evacuation thing again. Although it took me 13.5 hours to get to Austin, I feel I made the right decision... See ya Monday

Thursday, September 22, 2005


It's been pretty stressful in Houston for the past 24 hours.. I just tried to leave my house and head up to Austin, but since yesterday, every route out of town is completely bumper to bumper.. no one is moving.. It took me an hour and a half to go 7 tenths of a mile on I-10. People on the radio are telling stories of evacuees sitting on the freeway for ten hours or more and making no progress. People have run out of gas, cars broken down, it is complete chaos. I decided to turn around and come back home. If nothing more, I hope my stocks go up today.

Tuesday, September 20, 2005


Last week I posted an article that talked about the advantage of buying stocks that paid dividends.. American Electric Power Co. Inc. (AEP) is a great company and a wonderful example of what I'm talking about. Right now, this company will pay you 3.6% of your investment annually in dividends. Over time, this can really make you some money.

As you can see, if you had bought this stock 10 years ago, you would now have a gain of 72% from the dividends alone!


Shares of StemCells Inc. (STEM) are on the move today.. The stock gapped up this morning accompanied by huge volume on the news that its stem cells helped restore lost muscle use in mice with spinal cord injuries.

Monday, September 19, 2005

Stocks I Like

All of these are stocks I not only like, but also currently own..

Apple Computer Inc. (AAPL)

TAN Range Exploration Corp. (TRE)

Google Inc. (GOOG)

Williams Companies Inc. (WMB)

Southwestern Energy Co. (SWN)

Quanex Corp. (NX)

Friday, September 16, 2005

BECN Alert

Take a look at Beacon Roofing Supply Inc. (BECN). Lots of people need new roofs after Katrina and this company has what it takes to get the job done. One thing to note is that Beacon is working on acquiring a company called Shelter Distribution, a major distributor, which operates two locations in New Orleans.

Thursday, September 15, 2005

Energy Plays

These three stocks are definitely worth taking a look at..

Able Energy Inc. (ABLE)

GeoResources Inc. (GEOI)

Blue Dolphin Energy Co. (BDCO)


Stocks that pay dividends are excellent long term investments... Get to know a few of them.


Wednesday, September 14, 2005

TRE Update

TAN Range Exploration Corp. (TRE) is making new highs today on more than double the average volume.. look for support at the 50dma

What is Value?

Looking for a stock with good value? This article may lead you in the right direction.


NWAC Update

Northwest Airlines Corp. (NWAC) is recovering some of the loss it incurred yesterday.. the question is, will it hold or is this a dead cat bounce? With the likelihood of Northwest filing for bankruptcy, I wouldn't take any chances would and stay out of this stock.

BIDU Update Inc. (BIDU) got the rug pulled from under it this morning. Shares fell 20% when analysts expressed valuations concerns... OVERVALUED!!!!!

Tuesday, September 13, 2005

SWN Update

Southwestern Energy Co. (SWN) is having a great day today.. The stock is up 13% since it was first mentioned.

previous post

The Next Dot-Com Buyout

Interesting article discussing the recent and potential takeovers in the online industry.



Kopin Corp. (KOPN) is making new highs today.. anytime the military is a potential customer, especially at times like this, there is a possibility of big contracts.. I would wait for a little pullback before jumping in.

ENER Update

Energy Conversion Devices, Inc. (ENER) was hammered in after hours trading when earnings results disappointed investors..


PKS Alert

Six Flags Inc. (PKS) announced yesterday that they will be closing their AstroWorld theme park in Houston at the end of this season.

"..It is important to note that a unique set of circumstances applies to the AstroWorld property and this action should not be considered indicative of our intentions for any of our other parks"


Monday, September 12, 2005

Power Outage in LA

There was widespread power outages today in Los Angeles.. Unfortunately this is not an uncommon event in recent months.. Be on the alert for alternative energy stocks such as CPST and BCON which can only benefit from news like this.


ORLY Technical Analysis

Keep a watch on shares of OReilly Automotive Inc.(ORLY). There is a bullish MACD crossover following lots of support on the 200dma. The stock opened above the 50dma after it received an upgrade early this morning. Take a look at the technical indicators in April.. see anything familiar?

ENER Earnings

Energy Conversion Devices, Inc. (ENER) releases their 4th quarter earnings after the close today..


American Oriental Bioengineering Inc. (AOB) has been doing well lately.. keep an eye on it for the rest of the week.

TRE Alert

Shares of TAN Range Exploration Corp. (TRE) have been ripping this morning.. keep a close watch on this stock

GOOG Alert

Google Inc. (GOOG) is having a nice day so far. Shares of GOOG opened above 300 this morning.

first look

Sunday, September 11, 2005

AMTD Update

Keep a lookout on Ameritrade Holding Corp. (AMTD). Last Friday, shares jumped on the news that the company plans to see 4th quarter profits on the higher side of the estimate. It appears that the fast line of the MACD is beginning to cross the slow line indicating a bullish move in the stock. Ameritrade has performed well in recent months and should continue to rise throughout the rest of the year if all goes well.



Shares of Amgen Inc. (AMGN) have been performing well lately.. keep it on the radar for this week

Friday, September 09, 2005

TRE Update

Shares of TAN Range Exploration Corp. (TRE) have been flying lately. Its always a good sign when insiders contribute their own money for the benefit of the company.

previous post


Capstone Turbine Corp. (CPST) is making a move this morning. Alternative energy stocks such as Capstone have really seen some hefty gains this summer. Keep this and other alternative energy stocks on a close watch in the near future.

SIRI Update

Shares of Sirius Satellite Radio Inc. (SIRI) have been doing well lately.. It saw a nice lift off of the 50dma just as the MACD turned bullish.

previous post

CME Technical Analysis

It looks like there is a pretty good cup and handle forming in Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME)... I will give credit where credit is due... here's the link

Thursday, September 08, 2005

GOOG Update

My recent buy in Google Inc. (GOOG) has really been paying off. I believe Google is a great company and the stock will continue to rise in the long term.

previous post


Another Crazy Cramer pick that I like is Papa John's (PZZA). Besides the fundamentals, I also like their pizza.


Keep an eye on Boeing Co. (BA) in the coming weeks. I've been thinking and I beleive Crazy Cramer is right about thier union situation. Once the union gets defeated, it should be smooooth sailing for Boeing Co.

Wednesday, September 07, 2005


This small pullback in NutriSystem Inc. (NTRI) may present itself as a good buying opportunity. I've been adding to my position on pullbacks like this since I first started covering this stock.

Details of an IPO

Here are two interesting articles detailing the ins and outs of an IPO..



DSTI Update

DayStar Technologies Inc. (DSTI) is worth taking a look at again. I featured this company a few weeks ago and it is still looking good.

previous post

PDLI Update

Protein Design Labs Inc. (PDLI) has seen some nice gains since it was first featured. The stock broke out yesterday on good volume and the fast line of the MACD crossed the slow line. All of these are bullish indicators. Keep an eye on PDLI as the week progresses.

Tuesday, September 06, 2005

AAPL Update

Shares of Apple Computer Inc. (AAPL) shot up today making a new high as investors speculate what's next for the company.. Be on alert for their upcoming announcement.

previous post


This is an interesting article.. It explains how the sale of noodles can be used as an economic barometer in Thailand.


Friday, September 02, 2005

NTRI update

NutriSystem (NTRI) is still looking good since I last featured it. This stock was recently mentioned as an excellent short squeeze play, so keep it on the radar.


Genentech Inc. (DNA) broke out to new highs on good volume. Also the MACD has turned bullish. It's a buy

ENER update

Shares of Energy Conversion Devices, Inc. (ENER) have been jammin lately.. it's up 20% since I first featured it on 8-25. Congrats to those who got in early.

Thursday, September 01, 2005


Beacon Power Corp. (BCON) is beginning to heat up again.. I would keep a close watch on this one. I would expect to see some kind of news before the end of next week regarding the shipment of the Flywheel to California. It's about that time.


BSD Medical Corp. (BSM) has been on fire this week. Shares of BSM jumped when The Journal of the American Cancer Society published the results of a clinical study that further validates the progress of BSD Medical's cancer treatment systems.


Take a look at Capstone Turbine Corp. (CPST). It was featured earlier this week a potential hurricane play.. The stock has been performing well lately, so keep this one on your watch list


TAN Range Exploration Corp. (TRE) is up 23% since I first featured it three weeks ago... It's still going strong